Why use DIBELS? (continued)
The Role of the First Grade Alphabetic Principle on End of First Grade
Reading Proficiency
Click on a section of the scatterplot to see a description of the students in that
section.

Example scatterplot of a school using the DIBELS data system to make
educational decisions. The role of alphabetic principle in later
reading proficiency.
| Odds of being an Established Reader on ORF in May
of First Grade when Established with NWF in January of First Grade is
23 out of 26, or 88%. | Odds of being an Established Reader on ORF
in May of First Grade when Deficit with NWF in January of First Grade is
0 out of 6, or 0%. |
These scatterplot examples demonstrate how the DIBELS measures can
reliably identify and predict a student's later reading proficiency
in a time efficient and standardized manner. Once these students are
identified, it allows schools to mobilize their instructional
resources in a more efficient manner to intervene early with
students. Using the DIBELS, schools can reliably identify children
who are at-risk for reading difficulties and intervene prior to the
development of the negative, intractable trajectory so predictive
of reading failure.
This scatterplot displays an entire first grade's performance for each
child using their mid-first grade alphabetic principle performance (measured
by NWF) with their end-of-first-grade fluency with connected text performance
(measured by ORF). Each dot represents an individual student. If you
track down from a dot, you will get that student's mid-year performance
on the NWF measure (horizontal axis). If you track over to the vertical
axis, using the same student, you will get that child's end of first
grade ORF score. The green lines within the plot depict the benchmark goal
levels for each measure. In this example, the green vertical line is at 50
because that is the goal level for all children to be at or above by the
middle of first grade on the NWF measure. Any child to the right of
the green vertical line met the mid-year alphabetic principle goal.
The green horizontal line is at 40 because that is the goal level for
all children to be at or above on the ORF measure by the end of first grade.
Any child above the green horizontal line has met the end-of-year ORF
goal. The red line depicts the scores that are predictive of later reading
difficulty. Children to the left of the red vertical line had a score
of less than 20 on the NWF measure and are at serious risk for reading
difficulties without a change in instructional program. Students below the
red horizontal line had a score of less than 10 on ORF at the end of first
grade and are considered to be a non-reader at that point.
While the relation between the NWF and ORF measures is not perfect,
it is highly accurate at predicting performance at the ends of the continuum.
For example, for the students having established alphabetic principle
skills by the middle of first grade, 88 percent of them were established
readers by the end of first grade. The odds are in the
child's favor of being a reader in first grade if they meet the mid-year
goal. Conversely, the odds are stacked heavily against
students having a
score of less than 20 on NWF in the middle of the year. In this example,
of the students with a score of 20 or less in January of first grade on
the NWF measure, 0 students were established readers at the end of first
grade. The table below has the scores of one classroom of first graders
from the scatterplot example. One column has the middle of first grade NWF
performance and the right hand column has that same student's end of first
grade ORF performance. You can use these scores to put a name to some of
the dots in the grade-level scatterplot. In this classroom, of the 3
children in the middle of first grade with a score of less than 20 on NWF,
all were nonreaders by the end of first grade.
For 8 students with established mid-year alphabetic principle skills,
all were established readers at the end of first grade.

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